Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 27.898014 32.187393 36.826661 42.205961 48.259870 54.850336 62.555611
2025-01-05 21.673293 27.877692 35.224940 44.509585 55.866316 69.238137 86.100940
2025-01-12 16.585316 23.322084 31.906638 43.518982 58.668793 77.599190 102.854396
2025-01-19 12.809669 19.480578 28.540132 41.527546 59.411737 82.880906 115.656438
2025-01-26 11.504973 18.648431 28.860533 44.190591 66.211806 96.223684 139.624710
2025-02-02 10.828967 18.552345 30.092326 48.108217 74.923226 112.635991 168.764511
2025-02-09 9.509200 17.231779 29.294575 48.874541 79.052939 122.815693 189.782518
2025-02-16 8.252284 15.794513 28.092168 48.810143 81.814318 131.067838 208.407917
2025-02-23 7.127832 14.391520 26.738326 48.295215 83.729893 138.058955 225.453306
2025-03-02 6.222350 13.226224 25.613750 47.983587 85.849699 145.381223 243.299440
2025-03-09 5.448426 12.178032 24.547825 47.620913 87.783776 152.439916 261.032104
2025-03-16 4.491719 10.615301 22.358462 45.049350 85.756221 152.972788 268.404217
2025-03-23 4.122826 10.228397 22.373766 46.561189 91.077214 166.171707 297.555330
2025-03-30 3.867961 10.054220 22.797211 48.909120 98.133637 182.840735 333.620972
2025-04-06 3.295892 9.070967 21.482396 47.803410 98.863515 188.828446 352.258639
2025-04-13 2.720652 7.960257 19.739159 45.635674 97.391128 190.831029 364.154043
2025-04-20 2.626233 8.006100 20.468035 48.525597 105.704044 210.584222 407.773666
2025-04-27 2.632344 8.309544 21.796965 52.775067 116.940131 236.194656 462.928923
2025-05-04 2.397598 7.931994 21.531887 53.605880 121.480895 249.828438 497.441810
2025-05-11 2.134473 7.422434 20.887923 53.536056 124.182166 260.174349 526.507159
2025-05-18 1.877204 6.873345 20.069324 52.977773 125.807798 268.539400 552.302672
2025-05-25 1.663027 6.405125 19.383351 52.639878 127.843833 277.765557 580.100951
2025-06-01 1.472236 5.965951 18.707743 52.246608 129.710544 286.732886 607.804577